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ashbybrewer/README.md

William Brewer · Nashville, TN

I turn public records into decision instruments — the homeowners-insurance repricing of 3,142 counties, the insurance-adjusted cap rate every stale pro-forma is missing, what an AI campus announcement does to the housing market around it, a property-underwriting ETL pipeline, a Nashville neighborhood intelligence map. Economics background, real-world operator, self-directed engineer. Two rules: ship something that actually runs, and never blur the line between what's SOURCED and what's MODELED.


🏘 Property, markets & risk — the "does he know the domain?" pile

Project What it is Live
The Premium Map The homeowners-insurance crisis as a national instrument — premium escalation, non-renewals, loss ratios, and insurer exits across 3,142 counties, built from Treasury/FIO, Senate, NOAA, and FEMA records. ▶ launch
CAP//RATE The insurance-adjusted cap rate map — every county re-underwritten at its 2021 premium vs. today's, the drag in basis points, and a deal calculator with shareable deep links. The Premium Map's companion piece. ▶ launch
DATACENTER//HALO A ZIP-ring event study of what an AI campus announcement does to the housing market around it — thirteen markets, three archetypes (boomtowns, absorbers, anti-halos), built on Zillow, Census permits, and the gigawatt-race roster. ▶ launch
The Gigawatt Race County-level atlas of the American AI datacenter buildout, 2020–2028 — capacity, power source, water, tax abatements. The open version of what paywalled trackers sell. ▶ launch
RealtyETL ETL + BI for property profitability — DuckDB warehouse, Prefect orchestration, cap-rate/NOI/GRM scoring, Streamlit dashboard, 20+ test suite. repo
Nash / Shift Nashville neighborhood intelligence, 1980–2035 — 267 neighborhoods, opportunity scoring with named drivers and execution risks, investor/resident/planner lenses. ▶ launch
The Chart of the Century U.S. price divergence since 2000 — competitive sectors fell, regulated sectors soared — with a personal-inflation calculator built on BLS data. ▶ launch

🛠 Production & systems work — the "can he ship?" pile

Project What it is Live
Poseidon Maritime-intelligence console — live AIS vessel tracking, dark-ship detection, geofence analytics, structured Claude threat assessments. ▶ launch
Orbital Viz Real-time 3D satellite & debris tracker — SGP4 propagation in a Web Worker, Three.js point cloud, live Space-Track ingestion. ▶ launch
Provenance A citation tracer for statistics that travel — fourteen famous numbers traced to their primary sources, with the exact drift redlined. ▶ launch

🗺 Interactive history at scale — the "design + data rigor" pile

Project What it is Live
The War Room Atlas Eighteen self-contained interactive instruments for reading power — empires, wars, migrations, cities. One build pipeline, one design language. ▶ dispatch board
The Great Inversion How air conditioning moved the American population south, 1900–2025 — the demand story under every Sunbelt housing market. ▶ launch
The Peopling of America Every U.S. census 1790–2020 as a county dot-atlas — three thousand counties, one dot at a time. ▶ launch

🤖 Machine learning, from the metal up

Project What it is
minigpt A decoder-only Transformer in ~300 readable lines of raw PyTorch — every moving part visible, zero borrowed weights.
cumberland A local-LLM lab: from-scratch BPE tokenizer, pretraining, SFT persona shaping, and an agent harness.
Recidivism, revisited NIJ Recidivism Forecasting Challenge model + a 2026 re-analysis showing re-offending concentrates in a persistent cohort.

How I work: Most of these ship as a single self-contained index.html — React and data inlined, no servers, no keys, open it anywhere and it runs forever. Every figure on the board is labeled SOURCED (archival/record-derived) or MODELED (constructed/interpolated/forecast). The line is never blurred.

Designed and directed by me; built in collaboration with AI. The research direction, architecture, historical judgment, error-catching, and product decisions are the human contribution — and the framing always says so, because that honesty is the point.

📍 Nashville, TN · 📧 ashbybrewer@gmail.com

Pinned Loading

  1. nashville-time-machine nashville-time-machine Public

    Interactive Nashville neighborhood intelligence map with historical shifts, future scenarios, opportunity rankings, and address-level research nodes.

    HTML 1

  2. minigpt minigpt Public

    A language model from scratch in ~300 readable lines — decoder-only Transformer, raw PyTorch, every moving part visible.

    Python 1

  3. orbital-viz orbital-viz Public

    Real-time 3D satellite tracking & orbital debris visualization — pure WebGL, zero dependencies, double-click to run

    HTML 1

  4. poseidon-maritime poseidon-maritime Public

    Maritime intelligence console — live AIS vessel tracking, spatial analytics, and Claude-assisted anomaly assessment

    HTML 1

  5. realty-etl realty-etl Public

    ETL pipeline + BI dashboard for property profitability — DuckDB, Prefect, Streamlit, cap-rate/NOI/GRM scoring

    Python 1

  6. war-room-atlas war-room-atlas Public

    The War Room Atlas — eighteen interactive instruments for reading power: empires, wars, migrations, cities. The dispatch board for the whole collection.

    HTML