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Predicting Stock-Level Risk Premiums using Statistical Learning Models

Prediction Task

Regression

  • We predict the monthly risk premium of individual stocks using continuous‐target models.
  • Implemented models:
    • Linear: OLS, Ridge, Lasso, ElasticNet
    • Tree-based: LightGBM
    • Neural net: MLPRegressor

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Statistical learning workflow for stock-level return prediction using linear models, LightGBM, and neural networks on equity factor data.

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