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Match basket marginals to the correlation market pools - #2

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Ay-obami merged 1 commit into
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audit/basket-pool-identity
Sep 29, 2026
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Ay-obami merged 1 commit into
mainfrom
audit/basket-pool-identity

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Finding

An explicit interval can include several distinct market pools. The basket previously chose the first priced pool at that interval, then applied a correlation snapshot from another pool. A same-interval match does not guarantee the same event identity.

Fix

Prefer the correlation snapshot's priced pool within the requested interval. When its pool is absent from the priced sentiment snapshot, report the independent estimate and withhold the adjusted probability. Document this boundary.

Verification

Two regressions failed before the fix. npm test: 37/37 pass. git diff --check passes. Independent scoped review found no important issue. No live-feed availability or profitability claim.

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vercel Bot commented Sep 29, 2026 •

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crossodds Ready Ready Preview Sep 29, 2026 10:43am UTC

@Ay-obami
Ay-obami merged commit cd0729e into main Sep 29, 2026
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@Ay-obami
Ay-obami deleted the audit/basket-pool-identity branch October 2, 2026 07:41

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