agent-demo.json

{
  "label": "synthetic",
  "statement": "Synthetic fleet with known faults written in. The signals, verdicts and actions are exactly what the agent produced, unedited.",
  "cycle_id": "10f662ece670",
  "generated_at": "2026-09-29T22:05:54.659575+00:00",
  "weeks": 6,
  "planted": [
    {
      "machine_id": "MX-7100",
      "kind": "drift",
      "note": "cycle drifts 1.9% -> 24% over the window, stability ~97%"
    },
    {
      "machine_id": "MX-7101",
      "kind": "stop_burst",
      "note": "stops x4 from 2026-08-24"
    },
    {
      "machine_id": "MX-7102",
      "kind": "post_maintenance",
      "note": "deviation +9% after maintenance on 2026-08-17"
    }
  ],
  "machines": [
    {
      "machine_id": "MX-7100",
      "approved_cycle_s": 31.0,
      "weekly_deviation_pct": [
        3.1,
        7.3,
        11.1,
        14.5,
        18.6,
        22.5
      ],
      "weekly_stability_pct": [
        96.9,
        96.9,
        97.0,
        97.0,
        97.0,
        97.0
      ],
      "weekly_stops": [
        19,
        22,
        25,
        23,
        21,
        24
      ],
      "signals": {
        "cycle_deviation": {
          "value": 22.48,
          "unit": "%",
          "detail": "mean cycle +22.5% vs approved over the last 5 days"
        },
        "cycle_deviation_trend": {
          "value": 19.36,
          "unit": "pp",
          "detail": "deviation moved +19.4 points from the first week to the last"
        },
        "cycle_stability": {
          "value": 97.0,
          "unit": "%",
          "detail": "cycle stability 97.0% over the last 5 days"
        },
        "stop_rate": {
          "value": 1.17,
          "unit": "x",
          "detail": "4.8 stops/day in the last week vs 4.1 in the first two weeks (1.2x)"
        }
      },
      "verdict": {
        "abnormal": true,
        "severity": "high",
        "pattern": "silent_drift",
        "hypothesis": "Cycle duration drifted +19.4 points across the window while stability held at 97% — a steady, worsening cycle that no single-day threshold shows; consistent with tooling wear or a standard that no longer matches the part.",
        "evidence": [
          "cycle_deviation_trend",
          "cycle_stability",
          "cycle_deviation"
        ],
        "reasoner": "rules"
      },
      "actions": [
        {
          "tool": "root_cause",
          "ok": true,
          "summary": "5-step root-cause sketch for silent_drift",
          "chain": [
            "Cycle duration is above the approved cycle and rising week on week.",
            "The rise is smooth and the cycle is stable, so it is not stops or operator variation.",
            "A smooth, monotonic slowdown points to wear (tooling, hydraulics) or a changed material/setup.",
            "Wear that was not caught means the approved cycle is being compared, not the trend.",
            "Check tooling condition and material lot; if unchanged, re-baseline the approved cycle."
          ]
        },
        {
          "tool": "work_order",
          "ok": true,
          "summary": "P2 work order: MX-7100: silent drift",
          "work_order": {
            "priority": "P2",
            "checks": [
              "Inspect tooling wear and hydraulics",
              "Confirm material lot vs approved setup",
              "Re-baseline approved cycle if the part changed"
            ],
            "done_when": "cycle within 5% of approved for five consecutive days"
          }
        },
        {
          "tool": "alert",
          "ok": true,
          "summary": "high alert: Silent Drift"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "machine_id": "MX-7101",
      "approved_cycle_s": 42.0,
      "weekly_deviation_pct": [
        0.7,
        0.8,
        0.7,
        0.7,
        0.7,
        0.8
      ],
      "weekly_stability_pct": [
        96.7,
        96.5,
        96.8,
        96.6,
        97.1,
        96.5
      ],
      "weekly_stops": [
        15,
        16,
        26,
        15,
        48,
        52
      ],
      "signals": {
        "cycle_deviation": {
          "value": 0.78,
          "unit": "%",
          "detail": "mean cycle +0.8% vs approved over the last 5 days"
        },
        "cycle_deviation_trend": {
          "value": 0.11,
          "unit": "pp",
          "detail": "deviation moved +0.1 points from the first week to the last"
        },
        "cycle_stability": {
          "value": 96.5,
          "unit": "%",
          "detail": "cycle stability 96.5% over the last 5 days"
        },
        "stop_rate": {
          "value": 3.35,
          "unit": "x",
          "detail": "10.4 stops/day in the last week vs 3.1 in the first two weeks (3.4x)"
        }
      },
      "verdict": {
        "abnormal": true,
        "severity": "medium",
        "pattern": "stop_burst",
        "hypothesis": "Unplanned stops ran 3.4x the earlier rate in the last week with the cycle itself unchanged — an availability problem, not a speed problem.",
        "evidence": [
          "stop_rate"
        ],
        "reasoner": "rules"
      },
      "actions": [
        {
          "tool": "root_cause",
          "ok": true,
          "summary": "5-step root-cause sketch for stop_burst",
          "chain": [
            "Unplanned stops multiplied while the cycle itself stayed the same.",
            "Availability, not speed, is what fell.",
            "Frequent short stops usually trace to feed, ejection or sensor faults rather than the mould.",
            "Pull the stop reason codes for the last week and rank them.",
            "Fix the top reason first; re-check the stop rate after two shifts."
          ]
        },
        {
          "tool": "alert",
          "ok": true,
          "summary": "medium alert: Stop Burst"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "machine_id": "MX-7102",
      "approved_cycle_s": 24.0,
      "weekly_deviation_pct": [
        2.5,
        2.2,
        2.0,
        9.6,
        11.1,
        10.9
      ],
      "weekly_stability_pct": [
        97.6,
        97.6,
        97.4,
        97.6,
        97.6,
        97.5
      ],
      "weekly_stops": [
        21,
        18,
        19,
        19,
        20,
        19
      ],
      "signals": {
        "cycle_deviation": {
          "value": 10.94,
          "unit": "%",
          "detail": "mean cycle +10.9% vs approved over the last 5 days"
        },
        "cycle_deviation_trend": {
          "value": 8.42,
          "unit": "pp",
          "detail": "deviation moved +8.4 points from the first week to the last"
        },
        "cycle_stability": {
          "value": 97.5,
          "unit": "%",
          "detail": "cycle stability 97.5% over the last 5 days"
        },
        "stop_rate": {
          "value": 0.97,
          "unit": "x",
          "detail": "3.8 stops/day in the last week vs 3.9 in the first two weeks (1.0x)"
        },
        "post_maintenance_deviation": {
          "value": 9.33,
          "unit": "pp",
          "detail": "deviation +9.3 points after maintenance on 2026-08-17 vs the week before"
        }
      },
      "verdict": {
        "abnormal": true,
        "severity": "high",
        "pattern": "post_maintenance_degradation",
        "hypothesis": "Deviation is +9.3 points worse after the last maintenance than the week before it — the intervention degraded the cycle rather than restoring it.",
        "evidence": [
          "post_maintenance_deviation",
          "cycle_deviation"
        ],
        "reasoner": "rules"
      },
      "actions": [
        {
          "tool": "maintenance_impact",
          "ok": true,
          "summary": "deviation +2.0% -> +11.4% across maintenance on 2026-08-17 (worse)"
        },
        {
          "tool": "work_order",
          "ok": true,
          "summary": "P2 work order: MX-7102: post maintenance degradation",
          "work_order": {
            "priority": "P2",
            "checks": [
              "Diff current settings against the pre-maintenance record",
              "Verify replaced parts' tolerances",
              "Restore or re-approve; log which"
            ],
            "done_when": "deviation back to the pre-maintenance level for five consecutive days"
          }
        },
        {
          "tool": "alert",
          "ok": true,
          "summary": "high alert: Post Maintenance Degradation"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "machine_id": "MX-7103",
      "approved_cycle_s": 18.0,
      "weekly_deviation_pct": [
        2.9,
        3.1,
        3.1,
        3.2,
        2.9,
        3.1
      ],
      "weekly_stability_pct": [
        97.4,
        97.5,
        97.4,
        97.6,
        97.6,
        97.3
      ],
      "weekly_stops": [
        15,
        20,
        17,
        17,
        18,
        22
      ],
      "signals": {
        "cycle_deviation": {
          "value": 3.15,
          "unit": "%",
          "detail": "mean cycle +3.1% vs approved over the last 5 days"
        },
        "cycle_deviation_trend": {
          "value": 0.28,
          "unit": "pp",
          "detail": "deviation moved +0.3 points from the first week to the last"
        },
        "cycle_stability": {
          "value": 97.3,
          "unit": "%",
          "detail": "cycle stability 97.3% over the last 5 days"
        },
        "stop_rate": {
          "value": 1.26,
          "unit": "x",
          "detail": "4.4 stops/day in the last week vs 3.5 in the first two weeks (1.3x)"
        }
      },
      "verdict": {
        "abnormal": false,
        "severity": "low",
        "pattern": "normal",
        "hypothesis": "Within normal variation on every detector.",
        "evidence": [],
        "reasoner": "rules"
      },
      "actions": []
    },
    {
      "machine_id": "MX-7104",
      "approved_cycle_s": 42.0,
      "weekly_deviation_pct": [
        0.6,
        0.9,
        1.1,
        1.2,
        0.9,
        0.8
      ],
      "weekly_stability_pct": [
        96.3,
        96.2,
        96.1,
        96.2,
        96.0,
        96.1
      ],
      "weekly_stops": [
        19,
        23,
        19,
        21,
        17,
        20
      ],
      "signals": {
        "cycle_deviation": {
          "value": 0.82,
          "unit": "%",
          "detail": "mean cycle +0.8% vs approved over the last 5 days"
        },
        "cycle_deviation_trend": {
          "value": 0.26,
          "unit": "pp",
          "detail": "deviation moved +0.3 points from the first week to the last"
        },
        "cycle_stability": {
          "value": 96.1,
          "unit": "%",
          "detail": "cycle stability 96.1% over the last 5 days"
        },
        "stop_rate": {
          "value": 0.95,
          "unit": "x",
          "detail": "4.0 stops/day in the last week vs 4.2 in the first two weeks (1.0x)"
        }
      },
      "verdict": {
        "abnormal": false,
        "severity": "low",
        "pattern": "normal",
        "hypothesis": "Within normal variation on every detector.",
        "evidence": [],
        "reasoner": "rules"
      },
      "actions": []
    },
    {
      "machine_id": "MX-7105",
      "approved_cycle_s": 18.0,
      "weekly_deviation_pct": [
        2.0,
        2.2,
        2.0,
        2.0,
        2.0,
        2.2
      ],
      "weekly_stability_pct": [
        97.4,
        97.5,
        97.3,
        97.3,
        97.2,
        97.1
      ],
      "weekly_stops": [
        22,
        19,
        21,
        21,
        20,
        22
      ],
      "signals": {
        "cycle_deviation": {
          "value": 2.17,
          "unit": "%",
          "detail": "mean cycle +2.2% vs approved over the last 5 days"
        },
        "cycle_deviation_trend": {
          "value": 0.2,
          "unit": "pp",
          "detail": "deviation moved +0.2 points from the first week to the last"
        },
        "cycle_stability": {
          "value": 97.1,
          "unit": "%",
          "detail": "cycle stability 97.1% over the last 5 days"
        },
        "stop_rate": {
          "value": 1.07,
          "unit": "x",
          "detail": "4.4 stops/day in the last week vs 4.1 in the first two weeks (1.1x)"
        }
      },
      "verdict": {
        "abnormal": false,
        "severity": "low",
        "pattern": "normal",
        "hypothesis": "Within normal variation on every detector.",
        "evidence": [],
        "reasoner": "rules"
      },
      "actions": []
    },
    {
      "machine_id": "MX-7106",
      "approved_cycle_s": 42.0,
      "weekly_deviation_pct": [
        2.1,
        2.0,
        2.0,
        2.3,
        2.3,
        2.0
      ],
      "weekly_stability_pct": [
        96.3,
        96.3,
        96.4,
        96.4,
        96.2,
        96.3
      ],
      "weekly_stops": [
        19,
        18,
        19,
        20,
        25,
        21
      ],
      "signals": {
        "cycle_deviation": {
          "value": 2.03,
          "unit": "%",
          "detail": "mean cycle +2.0% vs approved over the last 5 days"
        },
        "cycle_deviation_trend": {
          "value": -0.09,
          "unit": "pp",
          "detail": "deviation moved -0.1 points from the first week to the last"
        },
        "cycle_stability": {
          "value": 96.3,
          "unit": "%",
          "detail": "cycle stability 96.3% over the last 5 days"
        },
        "stop_rate": {
          "value": 1.14,
          "unit": "x",
          "detail": "4.2 stops/day in the last week vs 3.7 in the first two weeks (1.1x)"
        }
      },
      "verdict": {
        "abnormal": false,
        "severity": "low",
        "pattern": "normal",
        "hypothesis": "Within normal variation on every detector.",
        "evidence": [],
        "reasoner": "rules"
      },
      "actions": []
    },
    {
      "machine_id": "MX-7107",
      "approved_cycle_s": 18.0,
      "weekly_deviation_pct": [
        1.3,
        1.3,
        1.6,
        1.6,
        1.4,
        1.3
      ],
      "weekly_stability_pct": [
        97.0,
        97.0,
        97.2,
        97.2,
        97.1,
        97.0
      ],
      "weekly_stops": [
        15,
        17,
        19,
        25,
        18,
        13
      ],
      "signals": {
        "cycle_deviation": {
          "value": 1.28,
          "unit": "%",
          "detail": "mean cycle +1.3% vs approved over the last 5 days"
        },
        "cycle_deviation_trend": {
          "value": 0.01,
          "unit": "pp",
          "detail": "deviation moved +0.0 points from the first week to the last"
        },
        "cycle_stability": {
          "value": 97.0,
          "unit": "%",
          "detail": "cycle stability 97.0% over the last 5 days"
        },
        "stop_rate": {
          "value": 0.81,
          "unit": "x",
          "detail": "2.6 stops/day in the last week vs 3.2 in the first two weeks (0.8x)"
        }
      },
      "verdict": {
        "abnormal": false,
        "severity": "low",
        "pattern": "normal",
        "hypothesis": "Within normal variation on every detector.",
        "evidence": [],
        "reasoner": "rules"
      },
      "actions": []
    }
  ],
  "notes": [
    "sense: 33 signals over 8 machines",
    "reason (rules): 3 abnormal of 8",
    "act: 8 tool call(s), 0 failed"
  ]
}